By Sarah Lazare
Soaring inequality in America has been accompanied by a plummet in upward mobility since the early 1980s, with those who earn modest incomes in their first jobs likely to remain trapped in low-wage work for decades, a troubling paper concludes.
Published in May by economists Michael D. Carr and Emily E. Wiemers, who hail from the University of Massachusetts in Boston, the study is based on data from the Census Bureau’s Survey of Income and Program Participation and examines the years 1981 to 2008.
“Though increasing through much of the 20th century, we show that intragenerational mobility has been declining since the early 1980s across a variety of rank-based measures,” the scholars write. “Mobility has declined for both men and women and among workers of all levels of education, with the largest declines among college-educated workers. In the presence of increasing inequality, falling mobility implies that as the rungs of the ladder have moved father apart, moving between them has become more difficult.”
The paper, published by the Washington Center for Economic Growth, concludes that this decline is particularly pronounced for the so-called middle class.
“One striking feature is the decline in upward mobility among middle-class workers, even those with a college degree,” the scholars write. “Across the distribution of educational attainment, the likelihood of moving to the top deciles of the earnings distribution for workers who start their career in the middle of the earnings distribution has declined by approximately 20 percent since the early 1980s.”
Read More: The Myth of Upward Mobility in America | Alternet
Thanks for this useful post. The issue of inequality and the associated decline in social mobility need highlighting more than ever. The US is the most unequal society in the rich world, and the trend has got worse since the 1980s. Many European countries have experienced something similar, perhaps to a lesser extent as some of them have more comprehensive welfare states, which are needed to cope with economic change as jobs are lost and (hopefully) new ones created at some point. The current rise of political populism cannot be ignored and is potentially dangerous, but it surely has longstanding economic causes, which have generated and interacted with particular social and political forces. We live in interesting (but often worrying) times.